نوع مقاله : مقاله علمی پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشیار جمعیت‌شناسی، مؤسسه مطالعات و مدیریت جامع و تخصصی جمعیت کشور
2 دانشیار جمعیت‌شناسی، محقق در دانشگاه ملبورن استرالیا
3 استاد جمعیت‌شناسی، دانشگاه تهران و استاد افتخاری دانشگاه ملبورن استرالیا
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Postponement of childbearing is one of the main factors in reducing fertility to low and very low levels. This paper aimed to determine the effective factors on first birth interval in Tehran using event history models. The sample comprised of 456 married women aged 15-49 years old in Tehran city. The Kaplan-Meier test was used to estimate the first birth interval. The gamma shared frailty distributions with log logistic model was employed to analyze its determinants. The results showed the median first birth interval to be 33 months. Postponement of childbearing was a feature of recent marital cohorts. First birth interval was shorter for women with a diploma and less (TR= 0.746) than for women with a college education. Employed women gave birth to their first child longer than other women (TR= 1.31). Women who married at an older age gave birth to their first child in a shorter interval compared to younger women. In general, birth timing is related to other areas of life, including women's employment and educational status. Creating a platform for coordination between employment, education, and childbearing will have a major impact on pro-natalist programs and facilitating couples' fertility ideals.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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